Disaster Risk Analysis and Modeling for Strategic Decision Making in DKI Jakarta

Fachdy Nurdin, Anatansyah Ayomi Anandari, Rudy Agus Gemilang Gultom, Achmad Farid Wadjdi

Abstract


DKI Jakarta as an important national center, faces significant challenges in disaster risk management. This research aims to develop a model that can predict and reduce the impact of disasters in Jakarta, thereby making an important contribution to strengthening the city's resilience and the safety of its residents. This research uses an empirical quantitative approach, with main data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB). The main focus is on correlation analysis and multiple linear regression analysis to explore the relationship between various variables such as infrastructure vulnerability, population density, and disaster frequency, as well as their combined impact on disaster risk. The research results show that Total Casualties, Inflation, Gini Index, and Number of Affected Villages are significantly correlated with disaster risk. Regression analysis reveals that Total Casualties have the most dominant influence. Economic stability and a localized approach to risk management were also found to be important factors. This research confirms that disaster risk management in Jakarta requires a comprehensive and integrated approach. Total Casualties as the dominant variable emphasizes the need for effective disaster response strategies. Meanwhile, economic and social factors such as inflation and the Gini Index also play a key role in determining vulnerability to disasters. A segmented approach based on the Number of Affected Villages is important for an efficient mitigation strategy.


Keywords


DKI Jakarta, Economy, Gini Index, Inflation, Disaster Risk, Total Casualties

Full Text:

PDF

References


REFERENCES

Bista, Raghu Bir. 2020. “Does Disaster Change Income and Wealth Distribution Toward Extremity of Inequality and Poverty? Analysis of Flood and Landslides in the Vulnerable Locations of Nepal.” Forum for Social Economics 0(0): 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1080/07360932.2020.1715810.

Cao, Yu, Cong Xu, Nur Mardhiyah Aziz, and Syahrul Nizam Kamaruzzaman. 2023. “BIM–GIS Integrated Utilization in Urban Disaster Management: The Contributions, Challenges, and Future Directions.” Remote Sensing 15(5): 1–35.

Dhiman, Harsh S. et al. 2020. “Wind Turbine Gearbox Condition Monitoring Based on Class of Support Vector Regression Models and Residual Analysis.” Sensors (Switzerland) 20(23): 1–17.

Dwirahmadi, Febi et al. 2023. “Linking Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation through Collaborative Governance: Experience from Urban Flooding in Jakarta.” Geosciences (Switzerland) 13(11).

Dwirahmadi, Febi, Shannon Rutherford, Dung Phung, and Cordia Chu. 2019. “Understanding the Operational Concept of a Flood-Resilient Urban Community in Jakarta, Indonesia, from the Perspectives of Disaster Risk Reduction, Climate Change Adaptation and Development Agencies.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16(20).

Fauzia, Qanita, Fatma Lestari, and Devi Partina Wardani. 2022. “Analysis of Fire Risk Assessment in South Jakarta 2021.” Jurnal Ilmu Kesehatan Masyarakat 13(1): 26–38.

Firdausi, Nobella, Fatma Lestari, and Avinia Ismiyati. 2021. “Disaster Preparedness Analysis of Public Health Centers in DKI Jakarta Province in 2020.” International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering 11(1): 91–99.

Hidayat, Hisyam Yusril, Syarif Amr Hasyemi, and Muhammad Galih Saputra. 2020. “The Strategies and Challenges of Non-Governmental Organization Roles in Flood Disaster Management in Jakarta.” Natapraja 8(2): 94–105.

Jülich, Sebastian. 2015. “Development of a Composite Index with Quantitative Indicators for Drought Disaster Risk Analysis at the Micro Level.” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 21(1): 37–66.

Priscannanda, Farizzy, and Hilwati Hindersah. 2022. “Identifikasi Kemampuan Berbagai Jenis Green Infrastructure Dalam Upaya Mengurangi Banjir Pada Das Ciliwung Hilir DKI Jakarta.” Jurnal Riset Perencanaan Wilayah dan Kota C: 23–35.

Rahayu, H. P. et al. 2020. “A Micro Scale Study of Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction in Coastal Urban Strategic Planning for the Jakarta.” International Journal of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment 11(1): 119–133.

Tam, Doan Ho Dan, Nguyen Phuc Phuong Vy, Nguyen Thi Xuan Tham, and Hoang Thi Ngoc Thang. 2021. “Trade and Income Distribution: Is Natural Disaster an Actor?” Economics and Business Administration 11(1): 60–72.

Tarigan, S. D., and S. Mahera. 2020. “Assessing Urban Water Security: Case Study Jakarta.” IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 477(1).

Yan, Yan et al. 2023. “Quantitative Estimation of Pipeline Slope Disaster Risk in China.” International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 14(2): 298–312. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-023-00462-5.

Yousof, Haitham M., Emrah Altun, and G.G. Hamedani. 2021. “A New Extension of Fréchet Distribution with Regression Models, Residual Analysis and Characterizations.” Journal of Data Science 16(4): 743–70.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.52155/ijpsat.v42.2.5934

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2024 Fachdy Nurdin, Anatansyah Ayomi Anandari, Rudy Agus Gemilang Gultom, Achmad Farid Wadjdi

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.